Introduction The ‘Celtic Paper Tiger’ is that part of economy tied up with servicing foreign multinationals and reducing their tax bills. It represents 65% of the Republic of Ireland’s economy,1it…
Bob Lyddon
Winding-up order issued against Evergrande – what does this mean for the Chinese authorities?
Introduction On January 29th 2024 international creditors gained a winding-up order against China Evergrande Group (‘Evergrande’) in the Hong Kong courts.1 This is a test case for the rights and…
Greensill Capital case damages the UK’s credit standing on the world stage
Introduction The UK government has cancelled its guarantees to a private lender – Greensill Capital – under the UK’s coronavirus support, without the obligation that was guaranteed having been discharged.…
New task bolted on to European Stability Mechanism – with how much extra risk?
Introduction The European Stability Mechanism (ESM) will now be backstop-of-last-resort to the Eurozone banking system, in addition to backstopping the Eurozone member states and the currency itself. Its resources have…
The European Stability Mechanism hangs by a thread – on France’s credit rating
Introduction The European Stability Mechanism (ESM) backstops the euro. Its nominal size is €705 billion but its lending capacity is lower at €500 billion, and the main condition attached to…
UK inflation is a threat to financial stability – time to conceal that with Eurozone techniques
UK Consumer Price Inflation remained at 8.7% in May. The Bank of England has raised the cost of overnight money to 5% via increases in its Base Rate, and has…
Central banks should be wobbling in their drive towards Central Bank Digital Currencies
Introduction Central banks have undertaken many investigations, pilots and proofs-of-concept into Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), proving little beyond the lack of a convincing case in their favour, but unearthing…
Introduction How resilient is the global banking system? Are banks’ capital buffers now much larger than they were going into the Global Financial Crisis of 2007/8, as authorities claim? The…
Bank Resolution Is Dead: Authorities Dare not Use it – and instead Risk Destroying Capital Markets
The template created after the Global Financial Crisis of 2007/8 to shield taxpayers from direct bailouts of failed banks has already folded – authorities dare not use it. The template…
What are the lessons for Europe from the demise of Silicon Valley Bank?
Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has gone from hero-to-zero in 48 hours. From established bankers to start-ups in the tech, fintech, and biotech industries and to Napa Valley’s premium wineries on…