Professor J. Garello speaking about his last book :
News
The Fitch rating agency on Tuesday downgraded Greece’s long-term debt ratings as well as those on four of the country’s largest banks, describing prospects for Greek public finances as negative. Greece is now exposed to the risk of losing the small amount of credibility it still has in front of its creditors. The concerns are growing about its ability to pay its huge public debt, estimated to 110% of GDP and budget deficit above 12.7% of GDP. A look at the evolution of the external debt of Greece is illustrating the concern of credit rating agencies and international financial markets:
While the world is moved deeply by the Copenhagen climate summit, several voices are disturbing the surrounding enthusiasm. The so-called climate skeptics have seen their cause promoted by the recent Climategate affair, which revealed that eminent climate scientists subverted the results of their research, and some other key data for the global warming theory seem to have been fiddled.
The Heritage Foundation launches a campaign against the dreaded estate tax (also known as the “death tax”) in the US. In the coming weeks, Congress will once again take up debate on the death tax, which expires for one year, beginning on January 1, 2010, before coming back in full force on January 1, 2011. Some in Congress are eager to prevent the death tax from expiring for even one year. Those that don’t want the tax to die will likely argue for a one-year extension of the tax at its current rate and exemption levels.
Twenty four countries in the world have already adopted the flat tax. The taxe rate is going from 10% (in Bulgaria, Albania, Kazachstan and Mongolia) to 25% (in Litva and Jamaica). One of IREF’s main proposals is to introduce a 15% flat tax in France.
This study is realized by Ludger Schuknecht, economist at the European Central Bank. He is making the case for the return to healthy and sustainable public finances. In that perspective, the authors identifies four central issues.
First, deficits and debts must be returned to a sustainable path. In many countries, deficits will need to fall by one percentage point of GDP per year and in some by much more. Even then, a balanced budget would only be reached in about 2015 for the average of the euro area and even later in the U.K.
This paper from Curtis S. Dubay from the Heritage Foundation investigates the new taxes US government is about to impose, in order to finance Obama’s health care reform. Higher Medicare taxes would push the top average marginal tax rate even higher than already scheduled. Currently, the top federal tax rate is 35 percent, but President Obama has proposed to allow it to increase to 39.6 percent. In addition, the House of Representatives’ version of health care reform includes a 5.4 percent surtax on incomes over $500,000 a year.
A new historical database on debt and banking crisis is showing that we might be in a trivial, rather than exceptional economic situation regarding government debt. Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart, the authors of the database and the connected study are showing that over the longer sweep of history governments regularly resorted to defaulting or at least restructuring their “uncomfortable” government debt. After the Great Depression, over 40% of the countries did so, and after the 1980-82 recession, 30% of the countries did it.
The American Congressman Ron Paul succeeded to pass an amendment for audit of the Fed in the Financial Services Committee. The amendment is about to be included in major banking reform legislation and its purpose is to allow audit of every item on the Fed’s balance sheet, all credit facilities, security purchase programs etc. “This is a major victory for Federal Reserve transparency and government accountability,” stated Congressman Paul.
The American healthcare system is stigmatized in Europe, and especially in France, where the government is pretending to offer a high quality health services to every French citizen, regardless of his contribution to the social security. But if the French social security system succeed in one task – covering the uninsured, it failed in two others, much more important issues – controlling costs and innovation. A recent study edited by the Cato Institute is evidencing the superiority of the American healthcare system when it comes to innovation in medical treatment.